Atletico de Madrid vs Valencia CF: Analysis & Picks 3/18/2023

Atletico de Madrid vs Valencia CF: Analysis & Picks 3/18/2023

March 16, 2023



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Atletico Madrid will look to extend their unbeaten streak in La Liga to ten games when they host relegation-threatened Valencia at the Wanda Metropolitano on Saturday night. Diego Simeone’s team is currently third in the table, six points ahead of fifth-placed Real Betis, while Valencia is 17th, level on points with 18th-placed Getafe in the battle for survival.


Atletico Madrid’s 2022-23 season cannot be considered a success due to their European disappointment, as they finished bottom of their Champions League group, effectively knocking them out of Europe.


However, the lack of European action appears to have aided them in the league, with the Red and Whites gaining a firm grip on a top-four spot thanks to a run that has seen them win six of their last nine La Liga games while remaining unbeaten.


Let’s check the latest picks, La Liga news, stats and La Liga expert picks for Atletico vs Valencia. We’ve plenty of La Liga predictions for you to consider.


In the race for a top-four spot, Simeone’s team is third in the table, three points ahead of fourth-placed Real Sociedad and six points ahead of fifth-placed Real Betis. Meanwhile, Atletico Madrid is eight points behind second-placed Real Madrid, and a win in this match would cut the gap to five points ahead of Real Madrid’s trip to leaders Barcelona.


Valencia have not played outside of Spain’s top flight since 1987, but they are currently fighting for survival, having only collected 26 points from 25 matches. Los Che are currently 17th in the division, level on points with 18th-placed Getafe, but they have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, winning two of their last three matches.


Ruben Baraja’s team defeated Real Sociedad 1-0 at the end of February before falling short at Barcelona. Valencia, on the other hand, returned to winning ways last time out, defeating Osasuna 1-0 thanks to a 74th-minute goal from Justin Kluivert.


Los Che have the third-worst away record in La Liga this season, with only six points from 12 games, but Atletico have dropped points in six of their 12 home games this season. Valencia have not beaten the capital giants in the league since October 2014, and Atletico won the rematch at Mestalla earlier this season 1-0.


Atletico de Madrid vs Valencia CF Game Information


  • Date: 03/18/2023
  • Time: 04:00 PM ET
  • Location: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid).
  • How to Watch Atletico vs Valencia: ESPN+
  • Live Stream:


Atletico vs Valencia Betting Lines


Atletico is –100 according to our Vegas La Liga Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $100. On the other side, Valencia is +550 according to the Vegas La Liga Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $550.

The implied probability for these two teams attached to the betting lines has Atletico at a 50% chance of winning the game, meanwhile Valencia has 15.38% probability of finishing the game with the W.


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