Game Preview
After dramatically sweeping the St. Louis Cardinals on the road, the Philadelphia Phillies will take a step up in weight class against the Atlanta Braves. Perhaps no team in baseball was running hotter than the Atlanta Braves entering October. Not only did Atlanta go 78-34 from June 1 onwards, but they also erased a 10.5-game deficit in the NL East with a sweep of the Mets to win the division.
While there wasn’t really anything that flukey about Atlanta’s 101-61 record (according to MLB’s expected Win-Loss metric, the Braves should have finished with 100 wins), it doesn’t mean that Atlanta’s form coming into the postseason isn’t causing some speculation regarding a potential sweep. A good argument can be made that the Braves are being overvalued against the Phillies in a best-of-5 format. The longer the series, the more the talent gap and difference in depth starts to tilt the scales, but in a race to three anything can happen and that naturally benefits the underdog.
The Phillies are set up for success whenever they start Wheeler or Nola. That was ideal for a best-of-three series like the wild card. But this series is best-of-five, and they’ll have to use some other options here, including Game 1 starter Ranger Suárez and potentially, at some point, Kyle Gibson. Which makes Philadelphia’s bullpen even more important.
However, This Braves offense is too good not to pounce on any mistakes. If the Phillies want to be competitive here, they’ll need to hope for the best version possible of their bullpen, especially in games not started by their aces.
In the end, it’s easy to over-analyze a best-of-five series. Some pitcher could tweak his neck getting out of bed, hang three sliders, and alter the course of the playoffs. Likewise, a hitter could go on a tear, or fall into a slump at the worst possible time. There’s no way of divining those twists and turns in advance. This series is full of interesting matchups. It should be a blast to watch, regardless of who comes out on top.
Let’s check the latest MLB picks, news, stats and MLB expert picks for Phillies vs Braves. We’ve plenty of MLB predictions for you to consider.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Game Information
- Date: 10/11/2022
- Time: 08:10 PM ET
- Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia.
- How to Watch: Phillies vs Braves FOX
- Live Stream: MLB.TV
Phillies vs Braves Betting Lines
Phillies are +170 according to our Vegas MLB Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $170. On the other side, Braves are -200 according to the Vegas MLB Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $50.
The implied probability for these two teams attached to the betting lines have Phillies at a 37.04% chance of winning the game, meanwhile Braves have 66.67% probability of finishing the game with the W.
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