Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros: Predictions & Picks 10/04/2022

Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros: Predictions & Picks 10/04/2022

October 4, 2022


Game Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies visit Minute Maid Park tonight at 7:10pm CT for a match against the Houston Astros. Ranger Suarez (10-6, 3.37 ERA, 1.30 WHIP) faces Justin Verlander (17-4, 1.80 ERA, 0.85 WHIP) in a heavily Astros-favored matchup. Last night, the Philadelphia Phillies managed to upset the Houston Astros with a 3-0 score coming into the series with a decent winning streak after taking down the Washington Nationals. The Astros on the other hand come from a 2-1 series against the Tampa Bay Rays in which they managed to turn around the series after a disastrous 7-3 series opener on September 30th.
With Philadelphia on a 87-73 record and 3-game winning streak, Houston is looking down at the barrel of a gun if they do fall down to the Phillies tonight. Houston has a remarkable 104-56 record despite coming off a loss against Philadelphia and will have to rely on batting leaders Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker to start scoring some runs against Suarez. According to ESPN Analytics, the Houston Astros have a 60.5% probability of winning tonight and tying up the series but arguably it’s a matter of how they win versus if they win. With such a favored prediction, it would seem expected for the Astros to cover tonight but they are 85-75 against the spread and are 69-70 when playing as favorites this MLB season.
The Philadelphia Phillies are 32-20 as underdogs and have proven to be quite a powerful dog to pick time and time again, most recently last night against the Astros so with the run line set at +1.5 and them being 40-39 when playing on the road as well as 80-80 against the spread, we could see some public money back the Phillies in one way or another despite the lopsided pitching matchup.
Let’s check the latest MLB picks, news, stats and MLB expert picks for Phillies vs Astros. We’ve plenty of MLB predictions for you to consider.


Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Game Information

  • Date: 10/04/2022
  • Time: 08:10 PM ET
  • Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas.
  • How to Watch: Phillies vs Astros TBS
  • Live Stream: MLB.TV


Phillies vs Astros Betting Lines

Phillies are +170 according to our Vegas MLB Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $170. On the other side, Astros are -200 according to the Vegas MLB Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $50.

The implied probability for these two teams attached to the betting lines have Phillies at a 37.04% chance of winning the game, meanwhile Astros have 66.67% probability of finishing the game with the W.


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