San Diego Padres vs New York Mets: Predictions & Analysis 10/7/2022

San Diego Padres vs New York Mets: Predictions & Analysis 10/7/2022

October 7, 2022

 

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Despite spending 175 of the season’s 182 days atop the NL East, building a 10.5-game lead by the end of May, and winning 101 games, the New York Mets lost out in the division race to a red-hot Atlanta Braves team that has played at a .696 clip since the start of June, and lost out via a tiebreaker, a 10-9 season series disadvantage. Now they’ll have to take the long route through the new postseason format, one that includes a potential matchup with the top-seeded, 110-win Dodgers if they advance beyond the Wild Card Series.

 

That can’t be taken for granted. Even with Max Scherzer and Jacob deGrom available to start in this best-of-three series, all of which will be played at Citi Field, they can’t overlook the Padres, who can offer some top-notch starting pitching themselves and who beat the Mets in four of the six meetings between the two teams.

 

As for the 89-win Padres, president of baseball operations A.J. Preller gave his team a dramatic makeover ahead of the August 2 trade deadline, acquiring Juan Soto and Josh Bell from the Nationals, Brandon Drury from the Reds, and Josh Hader from the Brewers while sending out Eric Hosmer, Taylor Rogers, Luke Voit, MacKenzie Gore, CJ Abrams, and more.

 

Far from yielding dramatically better results, those four incoming players fared worse with their new team than their old ones (more about which below), and the Padres additionally had to deal with the demoralizing loss of Fernando Tatis Jr. to a PED suspension while he was gearing up to return from wrist surgery. While the team’s offense still improved after the deadline, the pitching took a step back, and their winning percentage dipped.

 

In all, this is a matchup that features a whole lot of quality starting pitching and a couple of MVP candidates, but the Mets have a much deeper and more potent lineup. Anything can happen in this goofy best-of-three format, but the Mets are expected to prevail.

 

Let’s check the latest MLB picks, news, stats and MLB expert picks for Padres vs Mets. We’ve plenty of MLB predictions for you to consider.

 

San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Game Information

 

  • Date: 10/07/2022
  • Time: 08:07 PM ET
  • Location: Citi FieldNew York,NY
  • How to Watch Padres vs Mets: Star+
  • Live Stream: MLB.TV

 

Padres vs Mets Betting Lines

 

Mets are –145 according to our Vegas MLB Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $68.97. On the other side, Padres are +130 according to the Vegas MLB Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $130.

The implied probability for these two teams attached to the betting lines have Mets at a 59.18% chance of winning the game, meanwhile, Padres have 43.48% probability of finishing the game with the W.

 

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