Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets: Picks & Predictions 3/03/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets: Picks & Predictions 3/03/2023

March 3, 2023



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As the NBA enters its final stretch, the Memphis Grizzlies and the Denver Nuggets will play each other for the second time in a week on Friday. Steven Adams will probably still be out for the Grizzlies, and Vlatko Cancar is questionable for the Nuggets, but other than those injuries, this should be a matchup between two teams that are nearly at full strength.


As Memphis and Denver faced off on Saturday, Memphis dominated the Nuggets 112-94 despite Aaron Gordon sitting out. This time around, Denver will also get to serve as the hosts, which has been important for both teams.


The Grizzlies have gone 6-2 after losing eight out of nine games, so they seem to have found some stability (3-1 since the All-Star break). Most of us can agree that the storyline during that losing streak was how important Adams is to this roster. He is essential to Memphis’ style of play on both sides of the court.


Let’s check the latest picks, NBA news, stats and NBA expert picks for Grizzlies vs Nuggets. We’ve plenty of NBA predictions for you to consider.


The Grizzlies were first in points in the paint per game, second in points on second chances, and second in points on fast breaks when Adams was on the court. Also, they held opponents to the seventh-fewest fastbreak points and the fourth-fewest points in the paint. Then what has changed during the last six weeks?


The Grizzlies still rank second in fastbreak points per game and first in points in the paint per game, but they have fallen to 24th place in second-chance points per game. Their significant increase in points off turnovers per game, which has helped them go from 14th to first in the NBA during that time, has helped offset the decline in second-chance points.


Are the Nuggets designed to exploit the Grizzlies’ weaknesses? Denver’s 18-point defeat last week, in which the Nuggets trailed by 32 points entering the fourth quarter, would appear to be Exhibit A. However, we can’t put too much weight in just a single game.


Without Adams, one could have predicted Nikola Jokic would have had a field day against the Grizzlies, but due to the game’s blowout outcome, he only managed to score 15 points in under 27 minutes. One of his poorest outings of the season was made further worse by the fact that he only had three assists.


Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Game Information


  • Date: 03/03/2023
  • Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Location: Ball Arena.
  • How to Watch Grizzlies vs Nuggets: NBC Sports Boston
  • Live Stream: NBA Game Pass


Grizzlies vs Nuggets Betting Lines


Nuggets are –190 according to our Vegas NBA Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $52.63. On the other side, Grizzlies are +163 according to the Vegas NBA Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $163.

The implied probability for these two teams attached to the betting lines have Nuggets at a 65.52% chance of winning the game, meanwhile Grizzlies have 38.02% probability of finishing the game with the W.


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