North Carolina Tar Heels vs Florida State Seminoles: Picks & Predictions 2/27/2023

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Florida State Seminoles: Picks & Predictions 2/27/2023

February 27, 2023



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North Carolina will take on Florida State on Monday night in hopes of keeping their chances alive for a spot in the NCAA Tournament, despite predictions that they will miss out. The Tar Heels have won their last two games against Notre Dame and No. 6 Virginia, but still have a long way to go. In contrast, Florida State ended their four-game losing streak with an upset win over No. 13 Miami.


Earlier in the season, North Carolina struggled against weaker opponents and lost four consecutive games, confirming critics’ doubts. Although they started strong with a 7-3 record, they then lost five out of their next six games, causing them to fall out of the NCAA Tournament picture. However, they bounced back with victories over Notre Dame and No. 6 Virginia, putting themselves back in the running.


Let’s check the latest picks, NCAAB news, stats and NCAAB expert picks for North Carolina vs Florida St. We’ve plenty of NCAAB predictions for you to consider.


The upcoming game against Florida State is critical for North Carolina, as they face a rivalry game against Duke on Saturday. The Tar Heels’ primary issue throughout the season has been their poor outside shooting, ranking No. 337 in 3-point percentage. However, they have been more effective from 2-point range and have the No. 18 turnover rate. In contrast, Florida State struggles defensively, ranking No. 295 in effective field goal percentage. North Carolina’s senior forward, Armando Bacot, leads the team with an average of 17.0 points and 10.9 rebounds per game, and Caleb Love, RJ Davis, and Pete Nance all score in double digits.


Florida State has had a disappointing season in the ACC, starting with a 1-9 record in their first ten games. Although they performed better than expected in conference play, winning five of their first nine games, they then lost seven of their next eight games. However, their recent upset win over No. 13 Miami was surprising. Even with the win, they still need to win the ACC Tournament to secure a place in the NCAA Tournament. They rank outside the top 200 in both 3-point and 2-point percentages, but they have a low turnover rate and shoot well from the free-throw line. North Carolina boasts a strong defense, ranked No. 46 in adjusted defensive efficiency and No. 17 in defensive rebounding. Florida State is led by sophomore guard Matthew Cleveland, who averages 14.3 points and 7.7 rebounds per game, while Darin Green Jr. and Caleb Mills both score in double digits.


North Carolina Tar Heels vs Florida State Seminoles Game Information


  • Date: 02/27/2023
  • Time: 07:00 PM ET
  • Location: Donald L. Tucker Center.
  • How to Watch North Carolina vs Florida St: ESPN+
  • Live Stream:


North Carolina vs Florida St Betting Lines


Florida St is +282 according to our Vegas NCAAB Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $282.On the other side, North Carolina is –355 according to the Vegas NCAAB Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $28.17.

The implied probability for these two teams attached to the betting lines has Florida St at a 26.18% chance of winning the game, meanwhile North Carolina has 78.02% probability of finishing the game with the W.


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