The Dolphins and Bengals both roll into Thursday Night Football coming off wins, and both the short week and several key matchups yield great props for Week 4’s debut. Will the Dolphins’ defense be gassed after playing over 40 minutes in the heat Sunday and a quick turnaround? Are the Bengals back or was the win in Week 3 more due to the Jets’ defense? Can Tua Tagovailoa get over his “back” issue and suit up?
Over the last two weeks, the Miami defense has given up over 715 passing yards to Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. Xavian Howard played a full slate of snaps last week but has still been getting roasted on the corner and has a 140.7 QB rating when targeted this season. Miami is still without No. 2 corner Byron Jones (IR) while his replacement, Nik Needham, is allowing a 143.3 QB rating when targeted while allowing 17 yards per reception.
We know Joe Burrow has been getting pressured behind his line, and that scares me off his longest completion at 36.5 yards as he doesn’t have much time for routes to develop with just three completions of 40 or more yards. Instead, I’m pivoting to Tyler Boyd’s Over 17.5 yards for longest reception.
This year has been a weird one for NFL running backs so far, with big players failing to produce at the normal level expected of them. While the Bengals RB Joe Mixon indeed does fall into this category, he’s still shown far more than either of Miamis’ backs. He’s ran for 163 yards on the ground so far this season, higher than Chase Edmonds and Raheem Mostert’s totals combined.
While the Dolphins and the Bengals have both managed 6 sacks so far this season, Cincinnati has allowed just 248 rushing yards (8th-best in the league). The Dolphins are far behind at 348 rushing yards allowed, just barely scraping Top-20 in the league. Miami has talent in the trenches, but they’ve yet to show it this season.
Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals Game Information
- Date: 09/29/2022
- Time: 08:15 PM ET
- Location: Paycor StadiumCincinnati,OH
- How to Watch: Dolphins vs Bengals: NBC
- Live Stream: NFL.TV
Dolphins vs Bengals Betting Lines
Bengals are -180 according to our Vegas NFL Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $55.56. On the other side, Dolphins are +160 according to the Vegas NFL Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $160.
The implied probability for these two teams attached to the betting lines have Bengals at a 64.29% chance of winning the game, meanwhile, Dolphins have 38.46% probability of finishing the game with the W.
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