FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg: Predictions & Analysis 3/19/2023

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg: Predictions & Analysis 3/19/2023

March 17, 2023



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When Mainz 05 plays home to Freiburg in the Bundesliga on Sunday, both teams will be looking to keep up their excellent unbeaten streaks. Both teams have won their last five league contests, and Mainz is nine points behind its opponents in the standings going into kickoff.


Until being restricted to a 1-1 draw by Hertha Berlin last weekend, Mainz had put together an incredible winning streak of four games. Ludovic Ajorque’s goal in the 57th minute gave the visitors a point. When Jessic Ngankam’s converted penalty gave the other team the lead after 18 minutes, Bo Svensson’s team dominated possession after that, even if they didn’t produce many shots to challenge their goalie Oliver Christensen.


Svensson will be hoping that his squad does at least one better this season after coming in eighth last year. But, whether seventh place is sufficient to earn a position in the Europa Conference League will depend on whatever team wins the DFB-Pokal. The possibility of a first top six finish since the 2015–16 season is very real, though, as Eintracht Frankfurt sits only four points above Die Nullfunfer in sixth place.


Let’s check the latest picks, Bundesliga news, stats and Bundesliga expert picks for Mainz vs Freiburg. We’ve plenty of Bundesliga predictions for you to consider.


Freiburg is attempting to enter the Champions League for the first time in the club’s history, and the only thing standing in their way of being inside the top four this weekend is goal differential. Ahead of Christian Streich’s team, RB Leipzig and Union Berlin are now in third and fourth place, respectively. This week, all three teams were eliminated from participation in European competition, with Freiburg losing to Juventus 2-0 at home in the Europa League on Thursday.


However, Freiburg has come a long way during Streich’s 11-year and counting reign, as evidenced by the fact that they are even taking on opponents like the Italian powerhouses. In the DFB-Pokal final last season, Freiburg came within a penalty shootout of winning their first-ever major trophy against Leipzig. Despite having been assigned to Bayern Munich on the road for the quarterfinal match, they are still vying for Germany’s domestic cup this time around.


FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Game Information


  • Date: 03/19/2023
  • Time: 02:30 PM ET
  • Location: MEWA ARENA (Mainz).
  • How to Watch Mainz vs Freiburg:ESPN+
  • Live Stream: fubo.tv


Mainz vs Freiburg Betting Lines


Mainz is +115 according to our Vegas Bundesliga Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $115. On the other side, Freiburg is +235 according to the Vegas Bundesliga Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $235.

The implied probability for these two teams attached to the betting lines has Mainz at a 46.51% chance of winning the game, meanwhile Freiburg has 29.85% probability of finishing the game with the W.


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