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Game Preview In the 2023 ALCS, the Texas Rangers pushed for a Game 7 conclusion. On Monday, October 23rd, they will take on the Houston Astros for the chance to participate in the 2023 World Series. The ALCS has had more than its share of dramatic moments, and the Battle of Texas is now down to its final match. Both teams have a competent pitcher prepared for the decisive game, which could provide some excitement. It feels like anyone can win at this stage in the series. The Texas Rangers defeated the Houston Astros 9-2 in the
Game Preview Game 4 of the 2023 NLCS will take place at Chase Field on Friday evening. The Arizona Diamondbacks won Game 3 on Thursday, but the Philadelphia Phillies still hold a 2-1 series lead thanks to Ketel Marte‘s walk-off single. In 70% of instances in best-of-sevens in the past, teams holding a 2-1 lead went on to prevail in the series. Game 3 became the sole playoff match to have a tied scoreboard in the 6th inning or later. Marte and the outstanding rookie right Brandon Pfaadt helped Arizona win a close game. In a best-of-seven series,
Game Preview Friday’s Game 5 of the ALCS will be crucial, and it will take place at Globe Life Field in Arlington. The Astros responded with two comfortable victories in Arlington after the Rangers took the opening two matches of the series in Houston. In the current best-of-seven series, the American League Championship Series currently stands 2-2 and will return to Houston for a minimum of Game 6. On Thursday, the Astros offered the largest differential of the series. The 10-3 victory over the Rangers was their second-largest margin of triumph in the postseason. The match’s leadoff
Game Preview Thursday sees Game 2 of the American League Championship Series at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. On Wednesday evening, in Game 3, the Houston Astros defeated the Texas Rangers to earn the opening victory in the current series. In the best-of-7 series, the Rangers continue to maintain a 2-1 advantage, which in the history of MLB has culminated in a series victory more than 70% of the time. The Rangers are going to attempt to put themselves in a position to capture the division title at home as the Astros attempt to tie the series
Game Preview As the NLCS moves to the west for the third game on Thursday night, the Philadelphia Phillies hope to put the squeeze on the Arizona Diamondbacks after two convincing victories at Citizens Bank Park earlier in the week. If successful, they will be on the verge of securing a second consecutive World Series berth. Until Philadelphia’s offense opened the game up in the 6th and 7th innings of Game 2, the Phillies and Diamondbacks fought a close game. To avoid falling down 3-0 in the series and facing elimination, the D-backs must push Game 2
Game Preview At Citizens Bank Park on Monday, the Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks will play Game 1 of the NL Championship Series for this campaign. With a record of 90-72 in the NL East, the Phillies came in 2nd place, just behind the Atlanta Braves. The Arizona Diamondbacks, on the contrary, made the first trip to play at the NLCS since 2007 and ended 2nd at the NL West division trailing the Los Angeles Dodgers. To advance to the divisional stage, both squads had to use the Wild Card method. After that, they defeated the leading teams
Game Preview On Monday in Houston, the second match from the 2023 AL Championship Series features the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers. Texas won the opening game of the series 2-0 on Sunday. The Rangers concluded their regular-season campaign tied atop the AL West crown with Houston but lost the tiebreaker, earning a wild card slot instead. The Astros are playing in their sixth consecutive ALCS after winning the AL West for the 3rd year in a row. The Rangers know they will have home-field advantage regardless of the outcome in this match, but they shouldn’t find
Game Preview The current series stands at 1-1 after the initial two matches were back-and-forth, and Game 3 will be played in Philadelphia instead of Atlanta. The Braves were about to lose both matches at home after falling behind 0-2, but a game-winning 2-run homer in the bottom of the 8th inning prevented that. The Phillies have picked Aaron Nola as their starter for Game 3 while the Braves will be playing with Bryce Elder on the mound. After the batters went quiet in the initial match, the Braves lost, yet they produced just sufficient in the
Game Preview The Dodgers, who had a 100-win regular season, enter the third game of the NLDS facing elimination after losing their opening two contests at home versus the Arizona Diamondbacks. As the action turns to Arizona, trade deadline addition Lance Lynn will attempt to maintain Los Angeles’ season alive as youngster Brandon Pfaadt will start for the D-backs. Los Angeles’ offense, which was among the greatest in MLB this season, has only scored 2 runs in both of their initial two contests. We’ll see if the Dodgers can hang on after going 47-34 away from
Game Preview One victory would send the Houston Astros to their 7th straight American League Championship Series. In their best-of-five Divisional Series, Houston leads the Minnesota Twins 2-1 and will attempt to complete the sweep on Wednesday afternoon. The Twins will attempt to clinch the decisive fifth game while playing at home. After winning Game 1, Pablo Lopez shut down the Astros in Game 2. In Game 3, Christian Javier was the star. As his side increased their advantage, he pitched 5 innings, recording 9 strikeouts and only allowing one hit. Kyle Tucker’s RBI single in the
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Kyle Purviance has been an avid sports fan for over 34 years. His passion for sports started when he watched Joe Montana throw the winning touchdown pass to John Taylor in Super Bowl 23 and has only grown ever since. He won his first Fantasy Baseball league at the age of 9. His house was a frequent stop before every major sporting event so his uncles and parents friends could pick his brain for winners long before the internet existed as he would study every baseball card, every box score and every highlight at nauseam so he could know more than everyone else. Now as an adult, when he isn’t immersed in sports statistics, he is busy raising his 18 year old son on his own and preparing him to graduate from high school this year. While sports will always be a massive part of his life make no mistake about the fact that family always comes first him. Don’t be surprised to hear a joke or two from Kyle as making people laugh is always a part of his routine. Whether he’s roasting a friend or observing something that is funny to him in the world, his sense of humor is something that is a huge part of his personality.
Mark “Basewinner” Borchard has been successfully handicapping MLB for over 20 years. His approach is to simplify complex baseball metrics into actionable info. He has devoted thousands of hours to baseball statistics and odds research. He has learned to program so he can develop databases that power some of the most advanced data models in the sport.
Basewinner’s most well-known model is the complex fundamental Basewinner Crunch model; a model that arranges and weighs the most important performance data needed to gain an edge. The Crunch model evaluates 600+ batters and 500+ pitchers over the course of a season in several key metrics and has helped Mark achieve a positive ROI over a large sample of 8,000 games in his tenure as a public handicapper.
The Basewinner has utilized various unique adjustments in the player ratings that power the core of the Basewinner Crunch Model. For example, he normalizes each metric for the quality of opponent they have faced and the ballpark where each batter’s raw events have taken place. Additionally, Mark uses the right blend of batter split data. His starting and relief pitcher numbers use a carefully calculated blend of predictive data.
These raw talent level numbers are the weapons that the Basewinner takes into the battlefield and grind of daily baseball handicapping. This model churns out a true odds money line and total for each game on the day’s baseball card.
Most recently, Mark has infused other models into his handicapping process. He is excited about his newest data projects such as the 3M Starting Pitcher game rating evaluations and regression handicapping based on several datasets including individual player regression numbers and team expected win/loss numbers.
