The National League’s two lowest seeds coming into October square off in the best-of-7 NLCS, which begins Tuesday at Petco Park in San Diego. Not surprisingly, this highly unexpected matchup is essentially a tossup in the NLCS market. The Padres, who have home-field advantage, are a very slim favorite to advance to the World Series for just the third time in franchise history.
While it’s not altogether surprising that either the Padres or the Phillies, two very good teams, made it this deep into the postseason, it’s incredible that both have, considering who they had to go through to get here. The Padres have a dangerous heart of the order led by MVP candidate Manny Machado and young star Juan Soto, who is starting to heat up. Neither Max Scherzer nor Spencer Strider seemed 100% in their respective postseason outings (key details that allow for some amount of site-wide absolution), making the Padres the lone NL postseason team with three totally healthy premium starting pitchers in Yu Darvish, Blake Snell, and Joe Musgrove.
Even though the Phillies kind of backed into the playoffs, the depth of their lineup and their two elite starters were obviously enough to make them dangerous in October, and in two playoff series those traits were sufficient to overcome a middling bullpen (which may or may not be without veteran David Robertson again in the NLCS) and bad team defense. With the NLCS set to get underway on Tuesday, we’re no more than a week and a half away from one of these two clubs punching a World Series ticket.
The Padres have better defenders at every position but catcher, the better bullpen, and a slightly deeper “top” of their rotation, though that only matters for one game in this series. The Phillies have a deeper lineup and a more helpful bench. Both of these clubs were put together by front offices that tend to skew old school, and both are full of cold-blooded players and field staff who mostly appear to play loose and with poise rather than self-ignited intensity, something that both boisterous fan bases will no doubt bring to the party during this star-studded chase for the pennant.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Game Information
- Date: 10/18/2022
- Time: 08:03 PM ET
- Location: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- How to Watch Phillies vs Padres: Star+
- Live Stream: MLB.TV
Phillies vs Padres Betting Lines
Padres are –116 according to our Vegas MLB Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $86.21. On the other side, Phillies are +106 according to the Vegas MLB Lines. This means that if you wager $100 you have the chance to win $106.
The implied probability for these two teams attached to the betting lines have Padres at a 53.70% chance of winning the game, meanwhile, Phillies have 48.54% probability of finishing the game with the W.
Take a Look at Other 2 Analysis, Picks & Predictions For The MLB Season
- Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres: Preview & Picks 10/19/2022
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