Picks & Analysis: LSU vs Ole Miss 9/30/2023

Picks & Analysis: LSU vs Ole Miss 9/30/2023

September 27, 2023


Game Preview


This Saturday, in Week 5 of college football, LSU will visit Ole Miss. While South Carolina has the most passing yards in the SEC, the air show under Jayden Daniels has been more consistent, with the offense producing 320 passing yards or more in each of the four games.


A week after allowing Jalen Milroe and Alabama to win 24-10 while completing only 81% of their passes, the Ole Miss defense gave up over 300 yards to Georgia Tech in a win.


Despite the Rebels’ success before their trip to Tuscaloosa, the team’s offensive third-down performance suffered due to issues keeping opposing defenders out of the backfield.


However, the Rebels’ run defense has been superb. Despite spending an average of 36 minutes a game on the field, the defense is still allowing less than three yards per carry. This is the case despite facing Alabama, Georgia Tech, and Tulane.



The key for the Ole Miss attack here is to maintain possession. In their victory over LSU, Florida State converted on 64% of their third-down opportunities. Against the Tigers, Grambling and Mississippi State converted on 25% or fewer of their third down opportunities and suffered heavy losses, while Arkansas converted 62% of its opportunities last week and made it a battle in a 34-31 loss.


Don’t sleep on Ole Miss when they keep the momentum going. When the team has a third down percentage of 44% or higher, they have won 13 of their last 14 games. LSU is 2-5 under Brian Kelly when opposing offenses have a 40% or higher conversion rate.


The offensive can switch gears, but it has been rather hit-or-miss so far. The LSU offense can switch gears and still be quite reliable. LSU converts on 58% of its third down attempts, thus it will appear like the Tigers have the ball even when they don’t.


While Ole Miss will have success shooting the ball early and often, the time of possession aspect of this game will come down to how well Daniels performs under pressure across all four quarters.


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Let’s check the latest NCAAF news, stats and NCAAF expert picks for LSU vs Ole Miss. We’ve plenty of NCAAF Predictions for you to consider.


LSU vs Ole Miss Game Information


  • Date: 09/30/2023
  • Time: 06:00 PM ET
  • Location: Vaught–Hemingway Stadium.
  • How to Watch LSU vs Ole Miss: ESPN
  • Live Stream: fubo.tv


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