Analysis & Predictions: Allen vs Craig 11/18/2023

Analysis & Predictions: Allen vs Craig 11/18/2023

November 17, 2023


Fight Preview


Brendan Allen will put his five-fight winning streak to the test against Paul Craig at UFC Fight Night 232 this Saturday at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. Both fighters rank in the top 20 in their respective divisions and have recently made significant strides forward.


American middleweight Cody Allen has made rapid strides since his initial loss to Sean Strickland at middleweight. Since then he has won five consecutive fights, including a first-round submission win against Bruno Silva in his most recent fight. Additionally, Allen has secured wins by rear-naked choke against Sam Alvey, Jacob Malkoun, Krzysztof Jotko, and Andre Muniz among others.


Allen is an adept striker and capable grappler on the ground, boasting an excellent takedown percentage and successfully defending submission attempts at an excellent rate. However, powerful grapplers tend to make his life more difficult; nevertheless he has managed to stop 13 of 22 opponents through rear-naked chokes alone.


Allen must work to keep this fight on its feet and prevent Craig from getting into any precarious positions on the ground. Craig is an adept wrestler but more effective when finding an opening on the mat.



Although Brit has an admirable takedown percentage, his defense against submission attempts leaves much to be desired; only 29% of submission attempts have been successfully blocked and 3.89 significant strikes per minute were sustained against him.


The winner of this fight should become a top contender in middleweight rankings. Both fighters possess enough skills on both feet to impose themselves, though whoever can establish dominance on one will probably emerge victorious.


This fight promises to be thrilling to watch, with both fighters capable of taking down and holding opponents on the mat for extended periods. Success will hinge on who can capitalize on even minor openings on the ground to quickly submit an opponent and wrap up a submission quickly.


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Brendan Allen vs Paul Craig Fight Information


  • Date: 11/18/2023
  • Time: 07:35 PM ET
  • Location: UFC APEX.
  • How to Watch Allen vs Craig: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: BT


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